Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 9.020381 10.363830 11.860919 13.656806 15.757769 18.143984 21.068220
2025-02-02 7.336345 9.083840 11.198299 13.959927 17.493209 21.890913 27.823679
2025-02-09 6.438812 8.420742 10.968713 14.514843 19.370223 25.854202 35.284085
2025-02-16 5.491361 7.493228 10.191532 14.140070 19.847161 27.914209 40.390397
2025-02-23 4.850937 6.864748 9.692025 14.013638 20.563638 30.299962 46.210199
2025-03-02 4.340683 6.341860 9.253977 13.880820 21.197607 32.578842 52.134268
2025-03-09 3.901297 5.863891 8.812690 13.663490 21.634915 34.558544 57.814100
2025-03-16 3.508822 5.409825 8.349463 13.339762 21.832667 36.134992 62.996078
2025-03-23 3.364812 5.325020 8.447383 13.923549 23.589980 40.531267 73.823034
2025-03-30 3.157497 5.114413 8.315107 14.095495 24.641319 43.807250 83.069275
2025-04-06 2.929508 4.845926 8.056518 14.011756 25.210498 46.256607 91.069595
2025-04-13 2.715250 4.580001 7.774599 13.850078 25.604762 48.406900 98.780140
2025-04-20 2.620220 4.515793 7.844357 14.352770 27.351763 53.481577 113.663207
2025-04-27 2.504254 4.403304 7.815790 14.664534 28.760108 58.069196 128.322673
2025-05-04 2.434581 4.367794 7.923268 15.249679 30.795831 64.259768 147.843486
2025-05-11 2.247759 4.097357 7.562300 14.853848 30.709069 65.803305 156.435757
2025-05-18 2.109977 3.908490 7.341077 14.720345 31.171443 68.639985 168.794970
2025-05-25 1.983942 3.731876 7.127964 14.580113 31.598551 71.448988 181.615284
2025-06-01 1.859565 3.548551 6.885479 14.350671 31.791502 73.721216 193.424588
2025-06-08 1.734649 3.354539 6.605039 14.008937 31.678767 75.223291 203.372725
2025-06-15 1.710514 3.363423 6.745388 14.625226 33.943849 83.071835 233.382303
2025-06-22 1.647775 3.287218 6.698906 14.806774 35.159130 88.370232 256.887559
2025-06-29 1.566415 3.165594 6.544404 14.718357 35.678869 91.876184 275.549041